Modi and Yogi are promising too much to people in the run-up to the UP elections in 2022, but what about past promises? How many have been met? Is the purpose of these additional jumlas to entice voters?

Modi and Yogi are promising too much to people in the run-up to the UP elections in 2022, but what about past promises? How many have been met? Is the purpose of these additional jumlas to entice voters?

Some parts of the media talked about whether or not Yogi Adityanath would be removed as chief minister in the upcoming 2022 assembly elections even before the BJP sent senior party leaders to Uttar Pradesh to help the party win the state.

He thought that these stories were just made up by the media and that they didn’t have any truth to them at all. There was a lot of talk at the time about BS Yediyurappa, the chief minister of Karnataka, but he didn’t do anything (BSY).

CM candidates across the country lost their dreams when the party’s leadership asked him to step down. He agreed to do so, which ruined their chances. In the end, the rumours turned out to be false!

Party leaders learned a very important thing before Narendra Modi was elected: powerful leaders can’t be sacrificed at will, even by the BJP. At one point in 2011, the party tried to show that it was against corruption by giving up Yediyurappa, the man who made the party a force to be reckoned with in the southern Vindhyas.

 

The party’s anti-corruption credentials were called into question, and the party was forced to say sorry. As a result of making that mistake, the party had to pay a lot of money. It isn’t likely it will do that again in the next election cycle.

Alternatively, you could go to a different place. In the case of Adityanath, he has gained a lot of support over the last four and a half years as the chief minister of the state of Uttar Pradesh. This will have a big impact on the state of Gujarat, just like the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the country as a whole.

Is it possible to know how the political parties will work together in 2022? Is Akhilesh Yadav’s SP going to work with Mayawati’s BSP or the Congress or both? Or do you think they’ll work on their own? What do you think?

If a Muslim party like Asaduddin Owaisi’s All-India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen came out on the political scene, would we see new coalitions form in the polls? In the event that groups like the Bhim Army decide to run for office, what would happen to the Dalit vote?

People in the state of Uttar Pradesh won’t care about old or new alliances of convenience when they vote in 2022. Instead, how people feel about the state’s chief minister, Adityanath, and his policies will be the most important thing.

A bet was made by the BJP when it chose Adityanath as its leader in 2017. It could or could not work out. Because Adityanath is a symbol of a link between Hindutva politics and success in Uttar Pradesh, this is why.

However, even though the state’s main goal is to grow, it’s impossible to ignore the messages the CM’s saffron dress and actions send.

If the BJP wants to win the elections in 2022 and 2024, it will need to get the upper castes and most of the smaller non-Yadav castes excited. The non-committed Hindu voter, on the other hand, may not care about Hindutva politics but is more concerned about his or her own economic prospects.

There is no doubt that the performance of Adityanath’s economy is very much linked to the overall performance of the Indian economy, which is a big worry for the BJP not just in Uttar Pradesh, but all over the country, too.

It is possible to say that the actions of the Adityanath government have helped the core Hindu voter base, rather than the other way around. A lot of time has been spent by the state’s government on law and order issues, which, though not always good, are important to the party’s political base.

It’s because Adityanath has used anti-Romeo squads, laws against love jihad, renamed Allahabad as Prayagraj, or used lethal force to apprehend criminals that most BJP supporters think of him as a tough guy. It didn’t go over well with many people that he didn’t detain the rioters who damaged public property instead of issuing them with fines.

Adityanath’s total performance, on the other hand, will be a lot more important because of his development. The track record in this area isn’t very good, and there are a lot of things that could be done better.

It’s possible that even if farmers in western Uttar Pradesh keep protesting until the end of the year, they won’t change their support for Adityanath very much. People in the state government are working on a lot of different things, like making Lucknow a better place to start a business, building superhighways, and building a defence corridor. On the other hand, this is a work-in-progress.

Seeing bodies floating down rivers in the first and second Covid waves hasn’t been very interesting to watch on TV. However, Adityanath looks like he has done some good. His administration was very good at welcoming back migrants who had come back from other states during the first wave of migration.

He gave them short-term jobs and money to live on, and the state of Uttar Pradesh got a boost from his efforts. Following some initial slackness, the University of Pennsylvania has quickly lowered the number of infections in the second wave by increasing the number of tests that are done.

This has helped. During some days, more than 3 million Covid tests were done. The Covid positivity rate has now dropped dangerously close to 1%, which is not acceptable. As of yesterday, there were only 14,000 active cases in the state, according to the most up-to-date data.

There are more wealthy countries in the world, but it has been getting better faster than them. This is a big deal for a state with limited administrative abilities and a population of more than 240 million people, even though we have to make a big assumption.

Between now and the March 2022 elections, how the state acts will show whether or not the voters like its policies and procedures.

Anti-incumbency can’t be ruled out, but it would be safe to say that the most important thing for voters to look at is how Adityanath has done on development and the fight against Covid in the last year or so.

People say Adityanath has re-energized the party’s core constituency, and he’s only as popular as Prime Minister Narendra Modi and opposition leader Amit Shah, who are both in charge. After he wins, he will be able to show that he isn’t the saffron-clad man who English-speaking people don’t like.

edited and proofread by nikita sharma