60,000 People Could Be Hospitalized Each Day If Omicron Spreads At This Rate
60,000 People Could Be Hospitalized Each Day If Omicron Spreads At This Rate
India is experiencing an Omicron wave that we don’t seem to realize. While official figures show that Omicron cases account for just under 2% of all Covid cases in India, this is likely an underestimate. According to NDTV’s Meher Pandey and Saurabh Gupta, this report is based on proprietary information predicting that a major health crisis could occur for Omicron very soon in India. For the time being, Omicron is the variant of HIV being spread in India.
Maharashtra’s government has decided to suspend physical education classes at colleges and universities until February 15. India is following the rest of the world in rampant Omicron cases, in some countries it accounts for 90% of new cases.
Official Indian figures are very low as there are very few testing facilities or laboratories that can verify the genomic sequence required to detect Omicron. In an effort to find out the truth about Omicron’s adverse effects, NDTV gathered data from two labs capable of testing it. The results are very different from those officially reported.
Tests conducted by two international laboratories, one in Delhi and the other in Mumbai, show that in all cases of Covid, Omicron has now been found to be close to 60%. One of Mumbai’s Omicron labs is also expected to report in its next report that 60 percent of the company’s sales come from Omicron, down from 37 percent just a week ago.
The fact that Omicron cases are growing much faster than Delta’s is particularly alarming, falling from about 2% of total Covid cases two to three weeks ago, then reaching 30% a few days ago and is now close to 60% of all Covid cases.
During this period, the market share of the Delta variant dwindled, making Omicron the dominant variant in India. For India, this news is both good and bad news. There is good part or news in that Omicron is less likely to cause severe infections than Delta.The rate of Delta patients being hospitalized is higher with a higher mortality rate as well compared to Omicron.
But the worrying news for India is that Omicron is spreading much faster, estimated to be four to five times more infectious than the Delta variant. Therefore, if the third wave in India accelerates as it does in other parts of the world, India could see between 160,000 and 200,000 cases per day at its peak, as opposed to 4 lakh cases. Ten thousand Delta cases that India had at the peak of our second wave…
This will put unmanageable pressure on hospital beds in our health system, oxygen tanks, doctors and drug availability. This is because although a smaller percentage of Omicron cases are likely to require hospitalization, the total number of cases and infections is much larger.
Six out of 100 Delta cases required hospitalization, and assuming only half, three out of 100 Omicron cases required hospitalization, see the massive consequences: Approximately 24,000 hospitalizations were a result of the second wave of four thousand Delta cases. In the worst case scenario, there would be 60,000 hospitalizations per day for the third wave peak of 20 Omicron lakh cases. India’s medical infrastructure is nearing a breakthrough in the second wave driven by Delta.
Despite this, it does not appear as though India is preparing for what may be a terrible third wave in the future. We need to start making much bigger and more specific preparations immediately.
The new areas of interest include Mumbai, Kolkata, Thane, the suburbs of Mumbai, urban Bengaluru, Pune, Chennai, and the 24 Parganas (West Bengal). India confirmed its first Omicron-related death on Wednesday, which occurred on December 31, 2021. The health ministry said that although the 73-year-old man was hospitalized since December 15 last year, he contracted the disease. Comorbidities, but his genome sequencing report said he was infected. with the Omicron variant.
His results were negative on December 21 and he received his reports on December 26, six days before he passed away. ” Whenever a coronavirus-positive infection leads to death, the cause is assigned to COVID-19 in accordance with our guidelines. Likewise, if a person is found positive for Omicron, even if it is late, we will only consider it as a positive case for Omicron ” , said Lav Agarwal, co-secretary of the Ministry of Health.
As of the morning of January 5, India reports 2,135 cases of Omicron in 24 states and UTs, of which 828 have recovered and 1,306 are active. The centre calls the increase in the total number of Covid cases in the country exponential. According to the World Health Organization, 25.2 lakh cases of the virus have been reported in different countries worldwide as of January 4, marking “the highest level since the outbreak began”.
Here are 10 points about the current situation of Covid19 in India and Omicron
- India ranks 12th in the number of Omicron cases, behind the UK, Denmark, USA, Germany, Canada, Norway, Austria, France, Estonia and Israel of the UK, according to the Center.
Countries have the highest number of Omicron cases. (Authorization: Ministry of Health)
- There is a growing interest in Thane, Mumbai Suburban,Mumbai,Pune, Chennai, Kolkata, Bengaluru Urban, and 24 Parganas (West Bengal).
- India reported a 6.3-fold increase in the number of cases in the past eight days and the positive case confirmation rate increased sharply from 0.79% on December 29 to 5.03% on May 5. first.
- Omicron is emerging as a dominant variant in cities, the health ministry said.
- Delhi Health Minister Satyendar Jain said the third wave of the pandemic has hit the capital. According to official data, 65% of Covid samples in Delhi, whose genome sequencing reports were published between January 1 and 3, had an Omicron variant compared with 28% between December 1 and 31.
- In India, Covid R-value is 2.69, a significant increase over 1.69 recorded at the height of the second wave of the pandemic in 2011. According to the Ministry of Health, the rate of increase in cases is stronger than ever.
- 28 districts in India report a weekly positivity rate of more than 10% while 43 districts report a weekly positivity rate of 5% to 10%.
- The worsening situation has had an impact on political campaigns, with the National Assembly cancelling four rallies planned for Wednesday in Uttar Pradesh, a polling station.
- Countries continue to expand restrictions to prevent the spread of infection by imposing a nighttime curfew, weekend curfew, and suspending physical classes in schools. and college. Until January 14, schools in Gautam Buddha Nagar district will be closed to students from grades 6 to 10. Tamil Nadu has announced a night curfew from January 6. Maharashtra’s government has suspended physical education instruction at colleges and universities until February 15.
- Experts say the next four to six weeks are critical for India, as global agencies show the increase caused by Omicrons does not last.
edited and proofread by nikita sharma
